Über diesen Kurs
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82 Bewertungen

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Ca. 12 Stunden zum Abschließen

Empfohlen: 4 weeks of study; 3-4 hours/week...

Englisch

Untertitel: Englisch, Ukrainisch

Kompetenzen, die Sie erwerben

Sunk CostsCost–Benefit AnalysisCognitive BiasDecision-MakingData AnalysisStatistical Inference

100 % online

Beginnen Sie sofort und lernen Sie in Ihrem eigenen Tempo.

Flexible Fristen

Setzen Sie Fristen gemäß Ihrem Zeitplan zurück.

Stufe „Anfänger“

Ca. 12 Stunden zum Abschließen

Empfohlen: 4 weeks of study; 3-4 hours/week...

Englisch

Untertitel: Englisch, Ukrainisch

Lehrplan - Was Sie in diesem Kurs lernen werden

Woche
1
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Introduction

Individuals and cultures can make themselves smarter. Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, people have become enormously smarter. The Information Age requires a brand-new set of skills involving statistics, probability, cost-benefit analysis, principles of cognitive psychology, logic and dialectical reasoning....
1 Video (Gesamt 15 min), 3 Lektüren
1 Video
3 Lektüren
Welcome Message and Course Principles from Professor Nisbett10m
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Help us learn more about you!10m
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 1: Statistics

Basic concepts of statistics and probability including the concepts of variable, normal distribution, standard deviation, correlation, reliability, validity, and effect size. Concrete examples are drawn from everyday life and show how the concepts can be used to solve ordinary problems....
2 Videos (Gesamt 29 min), 2 Lektüren, 1 Quiz
2 Videos
Introduction to Correlation16m
2 Lektüren
Interactive Activity10m
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 praktische Übung
Lesson 1 Quiz18m
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 2: The Law of Large Numbers

How to think about events in such a way that they can be counted and a decision can be made about how much data is enough. You will learn about the concept of error variance and how it can be combatted by obtaining multiple observations. Your will learn that your judgments about people’s personalities are prone to serious errors that are largely avoided for judgments about abilities. And you will discover why it’s usually a mistake to interview job applicants. ...
2 Videos (Gesamt 27 min), 2 Lektüren, 4 Quiz
2 Videos
The Law of Large Numbers: Part 215m
2 Lektüren
Interactive Activity10m
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
4 praktische Übungen
Pre-lecture Reflection Prompt5m
Pre-lecture Quiz5m
Lesson 2 Quiz12m
Post-lecture Reflection Prompt5m
Woche
2
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 3: Correlation

It can be extremely difficult to make an accurate assessment of how two variables are related to one another; prior beliefs can be more important than data in estimating the strength of a given relationship. You will learn simple tools to estimate degree of association. You will learn about the nature of illusory correlations and how to avoid them. You will learn about the concepts of confounded variable and self-selection error....
4 Videos (Gesamt 25 min), 3 Lektüren, 2 Quiz
4 Videos
The Draw-a-Person Test4m
Illusory Correlation6m
Confounded Variables; Statistical Significance9m
3 Lektüren
Pre-lecture Activity10m
Interactive Activity10m
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 praktische Übungen
Correlation Exercises10m
Lesson 3 Quiz10m
2 Stunden zum Abschließen

Lesson 4: Experiments

You will learn that correlations can only rarely provide conclusive evidence about whether one variable exerts a causal influence on another and why experiments provide far better evidence about causality than correlations. You will be shown how to conduct experiments in business settings and experiments on yourself. You will learn the distinction between within subject designs and between subject designs. You will learn about the concept of artifacts and some tricks for avoiding them. You will learn how to discover natural experiments....
3 Videos (Gesamt 42 min), 2 Lektüren, 1 Quiz
3 Videos
A/B Testing9m
Experimental Design and Natural Experiments17m
2 Lektüren
Pre-lecture Activity5m
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 praktische Übung
Lesson 4 Quiz26m
Woche
3
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 5: Prediction

You will learn about the kinds of systematic errors we make when trying to predict the future. You will learn about regression to the mean and why you should assume that extreme values on a variable will be less extreme when next observed. You will learn how to think about observations in terms of true score plus error. You will learn about the concept of base rate and why it must be taken into account when estimating probabilities of specific events....
2 Videos (Gesamt 40 min), 2 Lektüren, 1 Quiz
2 Videos
Base Rate22m
2 Lektüren
Pre-lecture Question5m
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
1 praktische Übung
Lesson 5 Quiz8m
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 6: Cognitive Biases

We understand the world not through direct perception but through inferential procedures that we are unaware of. Our understanding of the world is heavily influenced by schemas or abstract representations of events. We are prone to serious judgment errors that can be avoided to a degree when we understand their basis. We make guesses about probability and causality by applying the representativeness heuristic based on similarity assessments which can be very misleading. We make judgments about frequency and probability by relying in part on the availability heuristic, judging things as frequent or probable to the degree that instances come readily to mind....
3 Videos (Gesamt 36 min), 1 Lektüre, 2 Quiz
3 Videos
Heuristics11m
Fundamental Attribution Error; Confirmation Bias11m
1 Lektüre
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 praktische Übungen
Pre-lecture Quiz5m
Lesson 6 Quiz22m
Woche
4
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 7: Choosing and Deciding

How to conduct a cost-benefit analysis. Why you should throw the analysis away after doing it if the decision is personal and very important. How to avoid throwing good money after bad. How to avoid doing something that will prevent you from doing something more valuable. Why it can be expensive to try to avoid the possibility of loss. Why incentives can backfire....
3 Videos (Gesamt 38 min), 1 Lektüre, 2 Quiz
3 Videos
Sunk Costs10m
Loss Aversion12m
1 Lektüre
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 praktische Übungen
Pre-lecture Activity5m
Lesson 7 Quiz14m
1 Stunde zum Abschließen

Lesson 8: Logic and Dialectical Reasoning

The distinction between inductive logic and deductive logic. Syllogisms. Conditional reasoning. The distinction between truth of an argument and validity of an argument. The concepts of necessity and sufficiency. Venn diagrams. Common logical errors. When to avoid contradiction and when to embrace it, how to avoid undue certainty about judgments and decisions, and why attention to context rather than form is crucial for analysis of most real-world problems....
2 Videos (Gesamt 36 min), 1 Lektüre, 2 Quiz
2 Videos
Dialectical Reasoning16m
1 Lektüre
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
2 praktische Übungen
Pre-lecture Quiz8m
Lesson 8 Quiz20m
16 Minuten zum Abschließen

Conclusion

...
1 Video (Gesamt 6 min), 2 Lektüren
1 Video
2 Lektüren
(Optional) Companion Readings from the Mindware book
Post-course Survey10m
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ziehen Sie für Ihren Beruf greifbaren Nutzen aus diesem Kurs

Top-Bewertungen

von NPAug 7th 2017

A very good course prof Richard has explained very difficult to understand concepts in a very simple language and made it easy for students to grasp the subject matter easily.

von PDec 24th 2018

Excellent introduction to basic tools (awareness of some cognitive biases / heuristics, the importance of contextual factors, etc.) for sharpening our minds: It´s a must! :-)

Dozent

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Richard E. Nisbett

Theodore M. Newcomb Distinguished University Professor
Department of Psychology

Über University of Michigan

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

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