Über diesen Kurs
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Untertitel: Arabischer Raum, Ukrainisch, Chinesisch (vereinfacht), Portugiesisch (Brasilien), Türkisch, Englisch...

Kompetenzen, die Sie erwerben

ModelingEconomicsDecision-MakingStrategic Thinking

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Beginnen Sie sofort und lernen Sie in Ihrem eigenen Tempo.

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Untertitel: Arabischer Raum, Ukrainisch, Chinesisch (vereinfacht), Portugiesisch (Brasilien), Türkisch, Englisch...

Lehrplan - Was Sie in diesem Kurs lernen werden

3 Stunden zum Abschließen

Why Model & Segregation/Peer Effects

In these lectures, I describe some of the reasons why a person would want to take a modeling course. These reasons fall into four broad categories: 1)To be an intelligent citizen of the world 2) To be a clearer thinker 3) To understand and use data 4) To better decide, strategize, and design. There are two readings for this section. These should be read either after the first video or at the completion of all of the videos.We now jump directly into some models. We contrast two types of models that explain a single phenomenon, namely that people tend to live and interact with people who look, think, and act like themselves. After an introductory lecture, we cover famous models by Schelling and Granovetter that cover these phenomena. We follows those with a fun model about standing ovations that I wrote with my friend John Miller.

12 Videos (Gesamt 124 min), 6 Lektüren, 1 Quiz
12 Videos
Thinking More Clearly10m
Using and Understanding Data10m
Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design15m
Sorting and Peer Effects Introduction5m
Schelling's Segregation Model11m
Measuring Segregation11m
Peer Effects6m
The Standing Ovation Model18m
The Identification Problem10m
6 Lektüren
Grading Policy10m
Course FAQ10m
Help us learn more about you!10m
Segregation and Peer Effects10m
1 praktische Übung
Why Model? & Segregation and Peer Effects12m
3 Stunden zum Abschließen

Aggregation & Decision Models

In this section, we explore the mysteries of aggregation, i.e. adding things up. We start by considering how numbers aggregate, focusing on the Central Limit Theorem. We then turn to adding up rules. We consider the Game of Life and one dimensional cellular automata models. Both models show how simple rules can combine to produce interesting phenomena. Last, we consider aggregating preferences. Here we see how individual preferences can be rational, but the aggregates need not be.There exist many great places on the web to read more about the Central Limit Theorem, the Binomial Distribution, Six Sigma, The Game of Life, and so on. I've included some links to get you started. The readings for cellular automata and for diverse preferences are short excerpts from my books Complex Adaptive Social Systems and The Difference Respectively.

12 Videos (Gesamt 138 min), 1 Lektüre, 1 Quiz
12 Videos
Game of Life14m
Cellular Automata18m
Preference Aggregation12m
Introduction to Decision Making5m
Multi-Criterion Decision Making8m
Spatial Choice Models11m
Probability: The Basics10m
Decision Trees14m
Value of Information8m
1 Lektüre
Decision Models10m
1 praktische Übung
Aggregation & Decision Models16m
3 Stunden zum Abschließen

Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models

In this section, we study various ways that social scientists model people. We study and contrast three different models. The rational actor approach, behavioral models, and rule based models . These lectures provide context for many of the models that follow. There's no specific reading for these lectures though I mention several books on behavioral economics that you may want to consider. Also, if you find the race to the bottom game interesting just type "Rosemary Nagel Race to the Bottom" into a search engine and you'll get several good links. You can also find good introductions to "Zero Intelligence Traders" by typing that in as well.

12 Videos (Gesamt 130 min), 1 Lektüre, 1 Quiz
12 Videos
Rule Based Models12m
When Does Behavior Matter?12m
Introduction to Linear Models4m
Categorical Models15m
Linear Models8m
Fitting Lines to Data11m
Reading Regression Output11m
From Linear to Nonlinear6m
The Big Coefficient vs The New Reality11m
1 Lektüre
Categorical and Linear Models10m
1 praktische Übung
Modules Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models20m
3 Stunden zum Abschließen

Tipping Points & Economic Growth

In this section, we cover tipping points. We focus on two models. A percolation model from physics that we apply to banks and a model of the spread of diseases. The disease model is more complicated so I break that into two parts. The first part focuses on the diffusion. The second part adds recovery. The readings for this section consist of two excerpts from the book I'm writing on models. One covers diffusion. The other covers tips. There is also a technical paper on tipping points that I've included in a link. I wrote it with PJ Lamberson and it will be published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science. I've included this to provide you a glimpse of what technical social science papers look like. You don't need to read it in full, but I strongly recommend the introduction. It also contains a wonderful reference list.

13 Videos (Gesamt 132 min), 1 Lektüre, 1 Quiz
13 Videos
Contagion Models 2: SIS Model9m
Classifying Tipping Points8m
Measuring Tips13m
Introduction To Growth6m
Exponential Growth10m
Basic Growth Model13m
Solow Growth Model11m
Will China Continue to Grow?11m
Why Do Some Countries Not Grow?11m
Piketty's Capital: The Power of Simple Model8m
1 Lektüre
Economic Growth10m
1 praktische Übung
Modules Tipping Points & Economic Growth18m
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ziehen Sie für Ihren Beruf greifbaren Nutzen aus diesem Kurs

Top reviews from Model Thinking

von GKFeb 25th 2017

Great content and lectures, that possibly provides new dimensions to look/explain the situation in context, I guess I will comeback for references to continue with this journey in to 'Model Thinking'

von BGJan 26th 2019

I learned much more than anticipated. In fact I've already started exploring areas of my work that model thinking would apply and how to use the tools presented in this class. Highly recommend!



Scott E. Page

Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics
Center for the Study of Complex Systems

Über University of Michigan

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

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